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Trump’s Desperate Measures Against Iran Could Lead to US Isolation: Prof. Tim Anderson


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A senior professor and political analyst based in Australia described the recent formation of an Iran Action Group (IAG) in the US as one of the Donald Trump administration’s desperate moves against Tehran, which will only isolate Washington.

“The new measures against Iran by the Trump administration, including the formation of an Iran Action Group, are measures of desperation,” Professor Tim Anderson, a lecturer at the University of Sydney, said in an interview with the Tasnim News Agency.

“Washington has no real allies in this, just some countries which are afraid to contradict Washington,” he added.

The main effect of these desperate measures “will be to isolate the USA” in the long term, the analyst said.

Professor Tim Anderson is a distinguished author and senior lecturer of political economy at the University of Sydney, Australia. Author of the ‘The Dirty War on Syria’, he has been largely published on various issues particularly the Syrian crisis.

The following is the full text of the interview.

Tasnim: As you know, the US government’s hostility toward Iran has recently entered a new stage. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has formed a dedicated group to coordinate and run the country’s policy towards Iran following President Donald Trump’s unilateral withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal with Tehran. Pompeo announced the creation of the Iran Action Group (IAG) at a news conference, naming Brian Hook, the Department of State’s director of policy planning, as its head. What do you think about the group and its objectives and do you think that it would be able to reach its goals?

Anderson: The new measures against Iran by the Trump administration, including the formation of an Iran Action Group, are measures of desperation. Washington has no real allies in this, just some countries which are afraid to contradict Washington. Other countries, which formerly backed the nuclear disarmament moves against Iran (notably Russia and China, but also some European countries) have abandoned the US, leaving it isolated. And that isolation is deepening because Washington is now threatening all its so-called allies.

All this might seem quite irrational, but we should remember that, for the US, the stakes are high.  The destruction of Syria was meant to pave the way for the isolation of and siege on Iran. That was the goal of the ‘New Middle East’ (by the Bush 2 and Obama regimes), which was supposed to usher a world of ‘freedom and democracy’, under North American tutelage.

Yet after several bloody wars the US proxy armies led by Jabhat al Nusra and DAESH, financed and armed by US agents in the region, were defeated by resistance forces in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq. Syria and its allies prevailed. So while the US and its proxies remain dangerous, and they continue to kill and destabilize, strategically they have failed, and they know it.

Compounding the US obsession with Iran is the fact that, as the ‘New Middle East’ project was failing, an even greater counter project for Eurasia integration was building, and here also Iran is important. Tehran now has mega linkage projects with Russia and China, and developing links across central Asia. Pepe Escobar’s recent article ‘Economic war on Iran is war on Eurasia integration’ outlines this quite well.

China’s new network of infrastructure projects (the Belt and Road Initiative) move forward inexorably, as Russia’s economic links with East Asia, West Asia and parts of Europe steadily grow, avoiding US interference. If Asia and Europe succeed in building strong economic links, the role and influence of North America across the entire Eurasian super-continent will be reduced.

In short, Washington sees Iran as the major obstacle to its plan to dominate West Asia, and also an important part of the Chinese and Russian led Eurasian integration, which they oppose. That is why, in my view, we see these desperate measures, with President Trump threatening most of his ‘allies’ over Iran. The main effect, in the longer run, will be to isolate the USA.

Tasnim: The Trump administration recently threatened to cut Iranian oil exports to zero, saying that countries must stop buying its oil from Nov. 4 or face financial consequences. Washington later softened its threat, saying that it would allow reduced oil flows of Iranian oil, in certain cases. Since oil is a strategic product and countries around the world always demand it, do you think that the US is able to carry out this threat at all?

Anderson: The US has been threatening many countries not to buy Iran’s oil. This has some influence on some countries. India, for example, seems to be hedging its bets. The French company Total has pulled out of its investments, no doubt judging that its business in the USA is worth more to it than those in Iran. However, oil is a global commodity and there are limits on how much economic loss companies and states will tolerate in seeking ‘safer’ but more expensive alternatives. And of course, the sanctions on Iran hardly deter the other countries which face their own unilateral sanctions from Washington.

For those which chose to maintain at least normal business links with Iran, there are some unintended consequences which are unfavorable to the US. China, for example, which has no problems in purchasing Iran’s oil, seems to have created a boom in Iranian shipping, through its deal to import Iranian oil in Iran’s ships, with Iran covering the insurance side (See this). The ‘petrodollar’ is also being undermined. China, which has been trading in bilateral swaps with many countries over the last decade, is quite happy to pay for its oil in Yuan.

US sanctions do bring pressure to bear on vulnerable countries, not least Iraq, still struggling to escape a virtual colonization by the US, after the brutal 2003 invasion. Iran-Iraq trade is substantial and of strategic importance, for both neighboring countries. In the short term, the US can pressure Iraq over its use of US dollars. However, as US analysts have recognized, these pressures are ‘backfiring’. Given the popular mood and economic realities, even the most compliant Iraqi leaders ‘cannot afford’ to cut economic ties with Iran. If Iraq ‘violates sanctions and is hit by US penalties, it is likely to place the country further into Iran’s sphere of influence’ (See this).

US unilateral sanctions on Russia also add to pressures on other US allies to move out of the North American financial sphere. Germany’s foreign minister Heiko Mass recently called for an alternative to the SWIFT system for international transactions (See this), not least so as German industry can purchase cheaper Russian gas. Now the Europeans have been slow in this regard, but at least they are talking openly about seeking greater independence from their NATO ‘big brother’.

In short, US sanctions will cut some markets and force some adjustments. However, the demand for Iran’s oil is not going away. Unlike a decade ago, the US has few allies in this campaign. Fairly rapidly this economic aggression will consolidate relations amongst Iran’s more reliable strategic partners, weaken the petrodollar and pressure a range of more independent policies amongst US allies.

Tasnim: Trump’s threat is part of his walking away from the Iran nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). He also plans to fully reinstate anti-Tehran sanctions from November 4. In the meantime, the EU has vowed to counter Trump’s renewed sanctions on Iran, including by means of a new law to shield European companies from punitive measures. German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas recently said Europe should set up payment systems independent of the US if it wants to save the JCPOA. What do you think about the EU’s role in reducing Washington’s pressures against Tehran and saving the deal?

Anderson: Washington’s cynical rejection of the JCPOA / Barjam has undermined its support across the board. The Europeans clearly took the nuclear agreement more seriously than Washington. While European companies are now under serious pressure to abandon their Iranian investments, so as to maintain their US investments, the European Union has begun to ‘grow a spine’ in face of Trump’s bullying.

Alongside the German proposal for bypassing the US controlled SWIFT system, the EU has re-activated its ‘block law’, to protect companies doing business in Iran (See this). This law was first created to avoid the third-party impact of unilateral US sanctions on Cuba. The statute protects ‘against the effects of the extra-territorial application of legislation adopted by a third country’. It prohibits compliance with non-recognized US sanctions while rejecting any court rulings to apply US penalties.

There is genuine resentment in Europe at US unilateralism and at Trump’s bullying, but the EU has been deeply embedded in US strategy for some time and its incipient moves must be read in that light. There are some rumblings of European economic independence, as regards US aggression against both Russia and Iran; but greater dynamism for structural change is coming from the east, through the Eurasian initiatives of China and Russia.

Will the JCPOA/Barjam survive? I suspect not. The US has openly betrayed the deal and split with all other players. Most of the Europeans seem to want to maintain the deal, but if they cannot deliver on their side, to remove sanctions against Iran, there is nothing in it for Tehran. Russia and China are long gone. US analysts recognize that Washington has no credibility to renegotiate anything and nothing to offer; so there will be no second JCPOA (See this). Both Iran’s Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and the country’s Foreign Minister Javad Zarif are now calling the 2015 agreement a ‘mistake’. That seems to bridge the gap between Iran’s liberals and ‘principlists’ over the matter: greater Iranian unity in face of an imperial project with seriously eroded support. Why would Iran allow foreign surveillance of its energy and nuclear sector, and get nothing in return? Time to move on, it seems.


The Dirty War on Syria

Author: Tim Anderson

ISBN Number: 978-0-9737147-8-4

Year: 2016

Pages: 240

List Price: $23.95

Special Price: $15.00

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‘War will destroy everything you own,’ head of Iran’s elite troops warns Trump


NOVANEWS
‘War will destroy everything you own,’ head of Iran’s elite troops warns Trump
US President Donald Trump will lose everything he has if he dares to wage war against Iran, the commander of the nation’s elite Quds Force warned. He also cautioned that the Red Sea is no longer safe with a US presence.

The war with Iran “will destroy everything you own,” Major General Qassem Soleimani warned Trump on Thursday, local TV channel Al-Alam reported. His comment comes after US and Iranian leaders exchanged public threats, and Washington proposed to block Iranian oil shipment.

READ MORE: ‘Troublemaker’ Trump pursues ‘ignorant diplomacy’ – Iran hits back at US

Speaking at a memorial event in the western Iranian city of Hamadan, Soleimani said that the Red Sea, an important shipping route, “is no longer safe” due to the American presence in the region.

Read more

FILE PHOTO © Luisa Gonzalez/REUTERS

The head of the Quds Force also cautioned Trump against further public outbursts against Tehran. “You must understand what you’re saying when insulting the Iranian people and our president,” he said.

US-Iranian relations deteriorated dramatically since Trump pulled out of the landmark Iran nuclear accord, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), in May. He labeled the deal “defective at its core” and cited mistrust against Tehran.

Despite the US claims, the International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed in a series of consecutive reports that Tehran had been fulfilling the terms of the agreement.

Washington reversed its policy of gradually lifting the existing sanctions imposed on Iran. At the same time, the US Treasury Department introduced a new set of restrictions targeting Iranian officials.

Trump’s decision to ditch JCPOA was heavily criticized by China, Russia and the EU who are also signatories to the deal. Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said that the unilateral withdrawal from the agreement by the US shows that Washington “can’t be trusted” to stick to international commitments.

Posted in USA, ZIO-NAZI, IranComments Off on ‘War will destroy everything you own,’ head of Iran’s elite troops warns Trump

Trump Administration Gives Iran a Choice: Defiance or Humiliating Surrender


NOVANEWS

Like any other self-respecting government, the Iranians are choosing defiance.

Iran fans wear masks representing U.S. President Donald Trump, right, and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un as they await the start of a group B match between Iran and Spain at the 2018 soccer World Cup in the Kazan Arena in Kazan, Russia, June 20, 2018. Eugene Hoshiko | AP

Posted in USA, IranComments Off on Trump Administration Gives Iran a Choice: Defiance or Humiliating Surrender

Iran Opens New Missile Production Line After Trump’s Bombastic Twitter Threats Against Rouhani


NOVANEWS

With top Iranian officials condemning Trump’s words as “psychological warfare,” Iran doubled down on its refusal to bow to U.S. pressure by unveiling a new mass production line of medium-range air-to-air missiles just hours after Trump’s tweet.

President Donald Trump speaks during his meeting with members of his cabinet in Cabinet Room of the White House in Washington, July 18, 2018. Pablo Martinez Monsivais | AP

President Donald Trump speaks during his meeting with members of his cabinet in Cabinet Room of the White House in Washington, July 18, 2018. Pablo Martinez Monsivais | AP

Posted in USA, IranComments Off on Iran Opens New Missile Production Line After Trump’s Bombastic Twitter Threats Against Rouhani

Trump to declare war on Iran?!


NOVANEWS

Kevin Barrett vs. Frederick Peterson

In this edition of The Debate, Press TV has conducted an interview Press TV has conducted with Veterans Today EditorKevin Barrett, an author and political commentator in Madison, Wisconsin, and senior congressional defense adviser Fredrick Peterson, from Richmond, to discuss US President Donald Trump’s possible move to decertify Tehran’s compliance with terms of the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1 group of countries.
All content herein is owned by author exclusively. Some content may be satirical in nature. Expressed opinions are NOT necessarily the views of VT, VT authors, affiliates, advertisers, sponsors, partners, technicians or Veterans Today Network and its assigns. In addition, all images within are full responsibility of author and NOT Veterans Today Network.

9 Responses to “Trump to declare war on Iran?!”
  1.  Cold Wind October 12, 2017 at 6:38 pm

    It certainly looks we are being dragged into war against Iran for Israel. Israel is nothing more than a criminal enterprise. It should not exist. Yet Trump is a proven servant who willfully subverts and ignores the desires of the American people for a true peace in the middle east. Trump’s allegiance to Israel is our doom.

  2.  kamangeer October 12, 2017 at 9:56 am

    “Mohammed”, are you writing from Saudi Arabia or Israel? I can’t tell whether you stink of Wahhabism or Zionism?! Wait, is there really a difference?

  3.  Amelius October 12, 2017 at 7:35 am

    I wish Fred would address Kevin’s points about US terrorism and subservience to Israel, but like all the other pretenders, he just dismisses the idea as a fantasy. He does this because he cannot address the topic objectively. To do that, he would have to admit that Kevin is right, because there can be no denying that America has killed more innocent civilians than any other nation since WW2, or that agents of fake Israel have hijacked American politics and media. Fred can make all the excuses he wants for Trump to back out of the deal, but when push comes to shove, Iran is in full compliance and Trump promised the parasites at the AIPAC convention that he would tear up the deal. It’s on tape. He’s doing Israel’s bidding. While there is a
    read more …

  4.  Nephre October 12, 2017 at 6:38 am

    Yeah, so, having avoided the worse option – Hillary – we got Trump – the buffoon. And, as such he is serving the same purpose as he did with the “birther movement” – e.g., he totally undermined it. So, in the guise of “draining the swamp” – very appealing words to an desperate electorate, he gets elected and will now be used as a Trojan horse for all of Hillary’s latent desires. It was what ought to have been anticipated.

  5.  Mohammed October 12, 2017 at 6:12 am

    Another Farce from you dear Kevin.
    Bush Sr did not declare war on Iran?
    Bush Jr did not declare war on Iran?
    Obama did not declare war on Iran?
    The whole lot of Neocons like Hilary, Paul Wolfowitz, Elliott Abrams, Richard Perle and Paul Bremer came and went…but NO war against Iran
    They waged war against Pakistan, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Sudan, Egypt (regime change), but NOT against Iran and you keep up with your old sensationalization and propagandizing that “Trump to declare war on Iran” with a question mark.
    I am sure you know why?
    Because the Neocons understand very well that Iran constitutes a deviant sect which has caused enough harm to Muslims in the past. Iran’s covert help to USA and NATO’s Iraq invasion
    read more …

  6.  wjabbe October 11, 2017 at 7:12 pm

    It is outrageous to have attention diverted to this issue when we now know Israel along with Bush, Cheney and some four star generals did 9/11 to the U.S. and must be punished for it. Israel is the enemy of the U.S. not the friend. All efforts of the corrupt Injustice Dept. of the U.S. should be on arresting and bringing to justice all the perps who carried out this attack on the U.S. and ultimately jailing all of them not wasting time and energy on a meaningless diversion to divert attention from the real criminals in Israel who have illegally hi jacked our government from us. All money and support to the outlaw nation of Israel must end along with all dual citizenships. Israel treats Palestinians like garbage aided and abetted by the corrupt
    read more …

  7.  Trakkath October 11, 2017 at 6:32 pm

    That would make me wonder if those behind Trump would openly declare war on any country. In most cases they do it like JFK said in his historic speech about secret societies: Infiltration instead of invasion, Guerillas by night instead of armies by day etc.

    •  Trakkath October 11, 2017 at 6:36 pm

      and don´t forget they take no usuary for lent money, a mortal unforgivable sin in the eyes of the Rothschilds.

    •  Trakkath October 12, 2017 at 5:11 am

      In case of open declaration of war POW are under Geneva Convention, also non-combatants and civilians

Posted in USA, IranComments Off on Trump to declare war on Iran?!


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